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After a pair of sweeps, the Toronto Raptors and the Boston Celtics will square off in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Sunday afternoon. The Raptors made quick work of the Brooklyn Nets in the first round, while the Celtics throttled the Philadelphia 76ers to advance. Gordon Hayward (ankle), Javonte Green (knee) and Tremont Waters (knee) are out of action for the Celtics. Kyle Lowry (ankle) is listed as probable to play for the Raptors, with Oshae Brissett (knee) and Patrick McCaw (knee) ruled out for Game 1.
Tip-off is at 1 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists Toronto as the two-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points expected, is 217.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Raptors odds. Before making any Raptors vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 59-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. It’s also 7-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Raptors. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Raptors vs. Celtics:
Brad Stevens’ team is recognized for its balance on both ends of the floor, but the Celtics are keyed by a star-level talent in Jayson Tatum. The talented forward averaged 27.0 points and 9.8 rebounds in the first round against Philadelphia and, in addition to his shot-making, Tatum is a tremendous team defender that uses his length and acumen effectively. On the defensive side, Boston doesn’t have a dominant rim protector, but the Celtics are sound across the board, including a top-five mark in the NBA in allowing only a 51.1 percent effective field goal percentage in the regular season.
The Celtics also ranked No. 6 in turnover creation, with the ability to create havoc on the perimeter. Boston’s offense is also potent, with Tatum leading the way and other top-shelf creators in Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown. The Celtics finished the regular season in the top six of the NBA in points per possession, turnover avoidance and offensive rebounding, with a well-rounded approach to attack Toronto’s elite defense.
The Raptors are led by a genuinely elite defense, with Nick Nurse as the architect and a great deal of talent. Toronto finished the regular season at No. 2 in the NBA in points allowed per possession, and that figure was buoyed by top-two marks in effective field goal percentage allowed and turnover creation. From a playoff standpoint, the Raptors dominated the Nets in the first round with elite defense and, dating back to their 2019 championship run, Toronto has proven to be versatile and dominant on that end of the floor.
Offensively, the Raptors lead the NBA Playoffs with a 2.54 assist-to-turnover ratio, and Toronto ranked in the top 10 of the NBA in free-throw rate during the regular season. Given that Boston was No. 22 in free-throw rate allowed, the Raptors should be able to get to the free-throw line and use that to help their overall offensive efficiency. Pascal Siakam, who averaged 20.8 points and 7.8 rebounds per game against Brooklyn, leads the way for Toronto’s offense, with sizable contributions from supporting pieces, including 21.3 points and 7.8 assists per game from Fred VanVleet in the first round.
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with only four players projected to hit the 20-point mark in the simulations. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Celtics vs. Raptors? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raptors vs. Celtics spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.
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