The NBA playoffs have been quite the treat. Saturday gave us the result we expected. The Denver Nuggets just will not go away. They have done the unthinkable and pushed the heavily favored Los Angeles Clippers to a Game 7 scenario. What a time to be a basketball fan. The Boston Celtics will open up their Eastern Conference Finals series against the red hot Miami Heat tonight. Jayson Tatum vs. Jimmy Butler is going to be a battle to behold. We now sit 32-20 on the postseason after picking up a win on our lone play of Sunday.
Here are my top 3 NBA betting plays for September 15th, 2020. You can also check out our daily NBA consensus game odds here.
Board man gets paid. I chose this prop just so I could write that. All kidding aside, Playoff Kawhi has averaged 9.6 rebounds per game during the postseason, up significantly from his 7.1 rebound season average. He has been almost as good in this series, as he has put up nine per game. However, these numbers are greatly skewed by his two rebound effort in Game 1. If we exclude that game as a sheer aberration, we are at 10.6 rebounds per game in this series. He has gone over the number in four of his last five contests, with the only under being his eight-rebound afternoon in Game 6. Kawhi is an excellent bet to hit double-digit rebounds, as he will undoubtedly be taking it to yet another level to help the Los Angeles Clippers advance to the Western Conference Finals.
Jaylen Brown is going to need to step against the Miami Heat if the Celtics are going to have a chance of advancing to the NBA Finals. Jayson Tatum will likely see a heavy dose of Jimmy Butler to open the series, which means that Brown, Kemba Walker, and even Marcus Smart are going to need to be near the top of their games. Jaylen Brown had success against Miami this season, averaging an excellent 24.7 per contest over three games. He averaged 20.3 points per game on the season as a whole and has slightly bumped that number up in the playoffs, and is at 21 points per contest even. He has hit 21 points in each of his last three contests, and could very well hit 25 or more in what could prove to be a pivotal Game 1 as far as establishing momentum. Tap Brown as a one-unit play at BetMGM.
The Kemba Walker prop is more of a toss-up. On one hand, we all know Kemba Walker is going to be needed if Jayson Tatum is being covered by Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. On the other hand, he averaged just 19.7 points per game against Miami during the season. He averaged 20.4 points per game during the season but has seen his average drop to 19.6 during the postseason. A small drop to be sure, but one that has ramifications on where the value lies for this prop. Walker has gone under 20 points in three of his last five contests. Gordon Hayward will be out for at least the opening game of this series, so the lean here is that he will be forced into a high volume role with Tatum being locked down. The under appears to have just as much value, however, so if that is the way you lean, by all means, go in that direction. As you can see this is more of a gameflow based projection play than a pure average and probability play.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.
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