World News – US – How the 2020 5-0 Seahawks are like and different from the 2011 5-0 Packers


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Most seasons produce at least one team 5-0 This isn’t remarkable in itself If a team only had a 50% chance of winning in every game, they would still have a 3% chance of winning 5 -0 This team would be perfectly average but exceptionally lucky Mike Freeman detailed the sad fate of some of these teams who received all their lucky breaks at the start of the season The 2020 Seahawks are not such a team I hope

There are quite a few posts on the internet detailing the “history” of 5-0 teams Basically this is the same repeated information Instead, I wanted to explore the real history of a few 5-0 teams that were particularly similar to Seattle To rock Freeman’s work a bit, the Seahawks aren’t the 1993 Saints or the 2009 Broncos at all To do this I had to simplify No team is exactly like the 2020 Seahawks But what who defines them? What are their main qualities? Here is what I decided:

One would have to be particularly poor at holistic analysis to wonder if Wilson will make the Hall of Fame It would take the literal apocalypse to prevent Wilson’s dedication Even then death would dismount its pale horse and hang a plaque for Russ Guy maybe the killer or the worlds but he’s not daff Wilson has not only been the best and most important player for almost a decade of an often elite offense, but has an ANY / A plus high and twice as many playoff winning records as Aaron Rodgers or Peyton Manning He’s fun, he has a story, he’s important and he won big He’s so far to the right of the middle that the bell curve looks like him like a distant escarpment climbed or camped by people like Matthew Stafford and Andrew Luck Ou guy something is amazing

Right now, starting at 5-0, Seattle’s defense is a bit below par He allows a ton of yards but he’s forcing turnovers and has been about average in points scored by opposing player Two things I would like to know: Are these teams improving significantly in defense? and what if they don’t?

It may seem unfair to call Seattle special teams « good », but the rule changes have ruled out any real possibility of a special team being excellent Seattle added about 9 points thanks to special teams, which projects at around 28 points for the season 2007 Bears added 56 points 1994 Browns added 506 points Etc. Historically, good special teams are probably not possible this season

How they looked like the 2020 Seahawks: The 11-Packers were a pass-first attack led by a HOF-linked quarterback in his prime Green Bay had two No 1 receivers, Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings Both were threats deep In five games, Jennings had 448 yards and 4 touchdowns The passing offense was completed by the committee backfield of Ryan Grant and James Starks

The defense was just okay, allowing 222 points per game, but opportunistic, forcing 13 turnovers in five games The 2020 Seahawks forced 10, but gave up only four, leading to a number differential. comparable business: Packers 7; Seattle 6 Scoring explosion masks this fact, but Seattle’s overall defensive performance is very comparable to Green Bay’s in 2011. Seahawks place 19th with a 34% DVOA The Packers placed 18th with a 78% DVOA Green Bay started the season stifling the race Green Bay and Seattle had their worst performances as an urgent defense in 4 weeks and 5

Like the 2020 Seahawks, the Packers had faced a weak schedule for five weeks and are expected to face a weak schedule for the remainder of the season

How they were different from the 2020 Seahawks: Green Bay beat three of their top five opponents The closest gap was seven points and the average gap of 124 points Seattle only won once per a two-point differential The average difference is 68 points

The Packers were pass-first but not as much as the Seahawks In five games and counting Rodgers’ 20 shoves as called passes (which is imprecise, I admit, but out of necessity), Green Bay has achieved 42% of its games The Seahawks ran only 31% of all games The Packers offense was also much more effective, earning a 346% DVOA over five weeks Seattle has a 248% DVOA, but both ranked at third in five weeks

Green Bay had 15 sacks in five weeks Seattle has nine The Packers had star passer Clay Matthews, but he only had one sack in five games

Punting was Green Bay’s biggest weakness on special teams The comeback was the team’s biggest strength Randall Cobb returned a kick for a touchdown in Week 1

How it went: Like a ride to the cosmos on wings of feathers and wax Rodgers won the 2011 MVP The Packers finished 15-1, first in offensive DVOA and overall DVOA, top ten in teams DVOA specials, but 24th in defensive DVOA The cracks that first appeared in weeks four and five proved to be significant as the race defense finished 28th in the DVOA Pass rush completely collapsed Green Bay finished last at adjusted sack rate

Rodgers only appeared on the injury report once, missing an irrelevant Week 17 game against Detroit to rest No Seahawks fan likely forgets this particular game This has led to (I think) stupid speculation that the Packers receivers lost their chemistry with Rodgers in the three weeks between week 15 and the divisional round Maybe they were all spoiled by Matt Flynn’s feathery touch. You can read more about other speculative reasons for Green Bay’s failure Which I think we can all agree is a proper use of ‘an encyclopedia Or wallow in the misery of their fans if you want

A slightly better explanation, it seems to me, is that the Packers had the misfortune of facing eventual Super Bowl champion the Giants as they morphed into their final Green Bay form. fell behind early, but never lost more than 10 points until the end of the fourth quarter, abandoned the race, exposing Rodgers to the now famous pass rush Between passes, sacks and quarterback runs, Green Bay called a pass 57 times and only ran 16 Rodgers efficiency numbers plummeted He finished throwing for 474 ANY / A after throwing for 939 ANY / A during the regular season

Now I get it if you smell a rat It sounds awfully practical, a near-duplication of my fears about the 2020 Seahawks I admit I’m probably inclined to adapt this narrative to other teams But I promise I don’t did not knowingly choose the Packers as a comparison to push this story If I’m so intriguing, it’s unconscious

Whatever the exact cause, Green Bay essentially fell victim to a team that did exactly what they did the previous season: massively surpass their regular season performance and advance to a Super Bowl championship. It happens I can definitely dig the 2020 Seahawks by finishing 15-1 Unlike the 2011 Packers this regular season wouldn’t follow a championship run and whatever extra injuries and fatigue that comes with those extra games And, anyway, life is never that easy What happened to the 2011 Packers can only happen approximately to the 2020 Seahawks

This is just a squad and a squad, and shouldn’t be overestimated for comparison But this post is long In part two my criteria given and my bloviations hopefully spent , I’m going to look at another team that matches the above criteria: the 2006 Indianapolis Colts

Green Bay Packers, Aaron Rodgers, NFL, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady, New England Patriots

World news – United States – How the 2020 Seahawks 5-0 are like and different from the 5-0 2011 Packers



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