The undefeated Nevada Wolf Pack (5-0) makes the long journey to Oahu to face the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-3). on Saturday night. The wolf pack wants to improve to 6-0 for the sixth time in program history and at the same time avenge the homecoming defeat against Hawaii (54: 3).
This is the 25th. Meeting between the two programs, with Nevada leading the series, 14-10. This game marks the 100th anniversary of the matchup that Nevada won on Christmas Day in 1920.
Nevada is 4-1 against the spread this season and has hit the over once. Hawaii is 2-3 against the spread this season and has hit the over twice.
Wolf Pack in second quarterback Carson Strong has continued his formidable campaign this season and 1. Collected 805 passes and 14 touchdowns. Last week, Strong threw for 288 yards, which was his first game under 300 yards in seven times. Strong will try to get back to the 300 club on Saturday while the wolf pack tries to stay undefeated.
This is the first time Hawaii has been on the island for two weeks in a row this season. Staying two weeks on the island should be a boon to the warriors as they prepare for the leaders of Mountain West. You want to get a win on the back of Redshirt quarterback Chevan Cordeiro with two threats.
Both teams have defenses that can make big stops. Will this game be tight on the track? Let’s break down the matchup and see where the value lies.
Nevada ranks 19th in this game. Place in the FBS total offense with an average of 481. 5 meters per game. The vast majority of this offensive production comes from Strong, who ranked 19th in terms of FBS handover efficiency. Place occupied. He is over an average of 361 meters per game.
The wolf pack has an Offensive Predicted Points Added (PPA) of 0. 27 per game, well above the Mountain West average of 0. 17th. Nevada allows Front 7 Havoc on 12. 7% of its games and allowed total devastation on 17. 6% of the games.
Both rates are in line with the conference averages and demonstrate Nevada’s ability to adequately protect the ball on offense. The wolf pack has scored 18 offensive touchdowns this season, 14 of which went through the air. Strong is the linchpin of their passing and the key to future success.
The defense was dominant against the state of San Diego last week, led by an outstanding performance from junior defensive tackle Dom Peterson. The wolf pack occupies the 17th. Place in overall defense among the FBS teams and only allows 317. 8 meters per game and 20. 6 points per game. They have been hit eleven times this season – five times on the ground and six times in the air.
Nevada has a defensive PPA per game of 0. 07, the second best in the mountain west and well below the 0. 18 conference average. It also produces Havoc on a 14. 2% clip. The wolf pack must control the scrimmage line and create more chaos in order to contain the Cordeiro with double threat.
Hawaii ranks 77th nationwide. Place in the FBS total offense with an average of 390 meters per game. Cordeiro completes 58% of his passports and has 1. Thrown 211 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions. He added 264 yards and three points on the ground.
The Warriors have a running back committee that compliments Cordeiro’s approach of the double threat. The offense has a PPA per game of 0. 15, and it allows Havoc in 18% of the games. Hawaii will try to take advantage of the Wolf Pack’s lower defensive Havoc rate to overcome the surprise.
Hawaii ranks 65th in FBS overall defense. Place and allows 414. 3 meters per game. The warriors allow 31. 40 points per game. They’ve given up 18 touchdowns this season, only five of which came from the airstrike. The Warriors have a defensive PPA per game of 0. 14, which is better than the conference average of 0. 18th.
They create chaos in 20% of the games and take second place in the mountain west. The strong pass defense must prevail against the passing wolf pack.
The Hawaii crime will face a major test against the high level defense force in Nevada. The Wolf Pack’s defense will attempt to quell Cordeiro’s running game. The Hawaii Defense goes well with Strong and the Nevada Reception Corps because of its strong pass defense.
For my model, the total for this game is 55 points. I think the piece is supposed to go under for several reasons. First, this is Nevada’s first game from Silver State this season. Getting to Hawaii is a difficult journey, and it could take Nevada a quarter to find its rhythm. The second is that both defenses are good and can stop.
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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Soccer, Nevada Wolf Pack Soccer, NCAA Mountain West Conference Soccer, American Football, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Rainbow Wahine
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